Missouri State Bears vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks prediction
College Football · Saturday, November 21 · 2:00 PM EST
Missouri State Bears@
Jacksonville State GamecocksBellFlow lean
Jacksonville State Gamecocks model favorite
MOST 19%JXST 81%
Projected score: MOST 19, JXST 37
- MOST expected to start a backup QB (Henry Belin IV)
- Power rating: JXST +15.9 pts better
Advanced matchup research
Recent completed games and recorded pregame spreads. Historical trends are not model projections.
Missouri State Bears
Last 20 record9–11
Points / game25.7
Allowed / game27.6
ATS record6–3–0
ATS cover rate67%
L 20–23W 24–3L 38–61W 24–21L 13–34
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Last 20 record15–5
Points / game28.9
Allowed / game22.2
ATS record5–3–1
ATS cover rate63%
W 47–14W 24–0W 27–24W 27–26W 23–13
ATS is calculated from the latest available spread recorded before kickoff. Pushes are excluded from cover percentage; games without pregame odds are not counted.
Projected game score
BellFlow model forecast, not the final result or a guaranteed outcome.
Missouri State Bears
19
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
37
Projected combined points: 56 · Projected margin: JXST 18
Season advanced team comparison
Observed current-season team averages, records and rankings. Not modeled player projections.
Missouri State Bears
Season record3-6
Power rank#115
Scored / game23.9
Allowed / game30.0
Yards / game380.7
Pass yards / game233.3
Rush yards / game121.6
Yards allowed / game397.3
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Season record6-2
Power rank#32
Scored / game26.9
Allowed / game19.9
Yards / game361.3
Pass yards / game224.0
Rush yards / game171.9
Yards allowed / game322.3
Key players and recent season averages
Completed-game statistics only; availability differs by sport.
| Player | Team | GP | Pass yds/G | Rush yds/G | Rec yds/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Belin IV | MOST | 8 | 162.8 | 3.6 | — |
| Skyler Locklear | MOST | 5 | 157.6 | 21.4 | — |
| Jmariyae Robinson | MOST | 8 | 3.0 | 7.3 | 62.3 |
| Connor Lair | MOST | 9 | — | 36.1 | 15.2 |
| Breezy Dubar | MOST | 7 | — | 32.9 | 3.0 |
| Ramone Green Jr. | MOST | 9 | — | 30.6 | 8.0 |
| Isaiah Myers | MOST | 8 | — | 15.0 | 117.6 |
| Mekhi Miller | MOST | 5 | — | — | 38.4 |
| Caden Creel | JXST | 8 | 218.3 | 88.9 | 14.0 |
| Jamill Williams | JXST | 8 | 14.0 | 2.6 | 38.1 |
| Jalen Likely | JXST | 6 | — | 40.0 | 15.3 |
| Justus Savage | JXST | 2 | — | 36.0 | 4.5 |
| Deondre Johnson | JXST | 8 | — | — | 54.8 |
| Luke Gilbert | JXST | 8 | — | — | 44.1 |
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