New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions prediction
NFL · Sunday, November 15 · 9:30 AM EST
New England Patriots@
Detroit LionsBellFlow lean
Detroit Lions model favorite
NE 48%DET 52%
Projected score: NE 25, DET 26
- QB edge: DET +0.9 net yds/dropback
- Projected score: NE 24.7 – DET 25.5
Advanced matchup research
Recent completed games and recorded pregame spreads. Historical trends are not model projections.
New England Patriots
Last 20 record13–7
Points / game23.7
Allowed / game19.1
ATS record12–8–0
ATS cover rate60%
W 24–19L 24–30W 26–19W 45–17W 29–26
Detroit Lions
Last 20 record11–9
Points / game26.3
Allowed / game24.4
ATS record9–10–0
ATS cover rate47%
W 19–15W 20–17W 45–21L 26–32W 31–24
ATS is calculated from the latest available spread recorded before kickoff. Pushes are excluded from cover percentage; games without pregame odds are not counted.
Projected game score
BellFlow model forecast, not the final result or a guaranteed outcome.
New England Patriots
25
Detroit Lions
26
Projected combined points: 51 · Projected margin: DET 1
Season advanced team comparison
Observed current-season team averages, records and rankings. Not modeled player projections.
New England Patriots
Season record5-3
Power rank#11
Scored / game23.0
Allowed / game20.3
Yards / game302.0
Pass yards / game244.1
Rush yards / game123.1
Yards allowed / game260.0
Detroit Lions
Season record5-2
Power rank#10
Scored / game29.0
Allowed / game25.7
Yards / game362.0
Pass yards / game264.0
Rush yards / game131.4
Yards allowed / game457.5
Key players and recent season averages
Completed-game statistics only; availability differs by sport.
| Player | Team | GP | Pass yds/G | Rush yds/G | Rec yds/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye | NE | 8 | 247.9 | 27.0 | — |
| Efton Chism III | NE | 7 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 21.6 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | 8 | — | 45.9 | 30.3 |
| TreVeyon Henderson | NE | 6 | — | 33.8 | 9.0 |
| Mack Hollins | NE | 4 | — | — | 52.3 |
| Romeo Doubs | NE | 6 | — | — | 43.5 |
| DeMario Douglas | NE | 8 | — | — | 41.5 |
| Jared Goff | DET | 7 | 280.6 | 2.5 | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | 7 | — | 110.4 | 40.7 |
| Sione Vaki | DET | 7 | — | 20.2 | 11.4 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | 7 | — | 4.5 | 81.6 |
| Jameson Williams | DET | 7 | — | — | 62.4 |
| Sam LaPorta | DET | 7 | — | 2.0 | 52.4 |
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