Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions prediction
NFL · Sunday, November 22 · 1:00 PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers@
Detroit LionsBellFlow lean
Detroit Lions model favorite
TB 41%DET 59%
Projected score: TB 21, DET 24
- QB edge: DET +1.3 net yds/dropback
- Team rating: DET +104 Elo
Advanced matchup research
Recent completed games and recorded pregame spreads. Historical trends are not model projections.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Last 20 record7–13
Points / game20.1
Allowed / game21.7
ATS record5–14–1
ATS cover rate26%
L 24–27W 16–0W 43–13L 19–26W 24–16
Detroit Lions
Last 20 record12–8
Points / game25.6
Allowed / game22.9
ATS record10–9–0
ATS cover rate53%
W 35–10W 19–9W 19–15W 20–17W 45–21
ATS is calculated from the latest available spread recorded before kickoff. Pushes are excluded from cover percentage; games without pregame odds are not counted.
Projected game score
BellFlow model forecast, not the final result or a guaranteed outcome.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
21
Detroit Lions
24
Projected combined points: 45 · Projected margin: DET 3
Season advanced team comparison
Observed current-season team averages, records and rankings. Not modeled player projections.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Season record3-6
Power rank#23
Scored / game22.4
Allowed / game19.8
Yards / game297.5
Pass yards / game141.9
Rush yards / game163.9
Yards allowed / game309.0
Detroit Lions
Season record6-2
Power rank#9
Scored / game27.8
Allowed / game23.6
Yards / game362.0
Pass yards / game252.0
Rush yards / game127.8
Yards allowed / game457.5
Key players and recent season averages
Completed-game statistics only; availability differs by sport.
| Player | Team | GP | Pass yds/G | Rush yds/G | Rec yds/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield | TB | 6 | 153.7 | 13.3 | — |
| Jalon Daniels | TB | 5 | 125.3 | 24.6 | -3.0 |
| Bucky Irving | TB | 9 | — | 91.7 | 15.1 |
| Kenny Gainwell | TB | 9 | — | 33.9 | 15.1 |
| Sean Tucker | TB | 3 | — | 26.7 | — |
| Emeka Egbuka | TB | 7 | — | 4.0 | 39.7 |
| Tez Johnson | TB | 8 | — | 6.7 | 31.8 |
| Chris Godwin Jr. | TB | 9 | — | 7.5 | 28.8 |
| Jared Goff | DET | 8 | 266.8 | 2.9 | — |
| Jack Fox | DET | 2 | 11.0 | — | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | 8 | — | 105.9 | 35.6 |
| Sione Vaki | DET | 8 | — | 19.3 | 10.7 |
| Jameson Williams | DET | 8 | — | 9.0 | 58.5 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | 8 | — | 4.5 | 82.1 |
| Sam LaPorta | DET | 8 | — | 2.0 | 49.9 |
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