Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills prediction
NFL · Sunday, November 22 · 1:00 PM EST
Miami Dolphins@
Buffalo BillsBellFlow lean
Buffalo Bills model favorite
MIA 16%BUF 84%
Projected score: MIA 17, BUF 31
- MIA expected to start a backup QB
- QB edge: BUF +1.3 net yds/dropback
Advanced matchup research
Recent completed games and recorded pregame spreads. Historical trends are not model projections.
Miami Dolphins
Last 20 record6–14
Points / game16.1
Allowed / game23.6
ATS record8–10–1
ATS cover rate44%
L 9–19L 19–24W 28–25L 24–31L 10–15
Buffalo Bills
Last 20 record16–4
Points / game29.5
Allowed / game21.4
ATS record12–8–0
ATS cover rate60%
W 23–6W 36–10W 33–30W 37–34L 26–29
ATS is calculated from the latest available spread recorded before kickoff. Pushes are excluded from cover percentage; games without pregame odds are not counted.
Projected game score
BellFlow model forecast, not the final result or a guaranteed outcome.
Miami Dolphins
17
Buffalo Bills
31
Projected combined points: 48 · Projected margin: BUF 14
Season advanced team comparison
Observed current-season team averages, records and rankings. Not modeled player projections.
Miami Dolphins
Season record1-7
Power rank#31
Scored / game15.8
Allowed / game25.0
Yards / game271.5
Pass yards / game164.8
Rush yards / game117.5
Yards allowed / game336.0
Buffalo Bills
Season record6-1
Power rank#2
Scored / game31.3
Allowed / game21.9
Yards / game427.5
Pass yards / game245.1
Rush yards / game134.1
Yards allowed / game368.0
Key players and recent season averages
Completed-game statistics only; availability differs by sport.
| Player | Team | GP | Pass yds/G | Rush yds/G | Rec yds/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Willis | MIA | 8 | 174.5 | 29.0 | — |
| Bradley Pinion | MIA | 3 | 46.0 | 0.0 | — |
| Ollie Gordon II | MIA | 7 | — | 66.1 | 4.6 |
| De'Von Achane | MIA | 3 | — | 42.3 | 16.3 |
| Caleb Douglas | MIA | 5 | — | — | 59.2 |
| Ryan Miller | MIA | 3 | — | — | 46.0 |
| Kaytron Allen | MIA | 5 | — | 10.0 | 46.0 |
| Josh Allen | BUF | 7 | 259.6 | 23.4 | 1.0 |
| James Cook III | BUF | 7 | — | 100.4 | 14.7 |
| Ray Davis | BUF | 5 | — | 8.4 | 3.0 |
| Dalton Kincaid | BUF | 7 | — | — | 60.3 |
| DJ Moore | BUF | 6 | — | 5.0 | 57.0 |
| Khalil Shakir | BUF | 7 | — | — | 47.4 |
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