Pittsburgh Panthers vs Louisville Cardinals prediction
College Football · Saturday, November 21 · 12:00 AM EST
Pittsburgh Panthers@
Louisville CardinalsBellFlow lean
Louisville Cardinals model favorite
PITT 20%LOU 80%
Projected score: PITT 16, LOU 33
- PITT expected to start a backup QB (Holden Geriner)
- Power rating: LOU +13.5 pts better
Advanced matchup research
Recent completed games and recorded pregame spreads. Historical trends are not model projections.
Pittsburgh Panthers
Last 20 record12–8
Points / game30.3
Allowed / game23.0
ATS record4–5–0
ATS cover rate44%
L 10–16W 34–11L 23–52L 21–27L 17–21
Louisville Cardinals
Last 20 record13–7
Points / game32.7
Allowed / game23.7
ATS record5–5–0
ATS cover rate50%
W 16–14W 44–17W 52–24W 34–26W 44–20
ATS is calculated from the latest available spread recorded before kickoff. Pushes are excluded from cover percentage; games without pregame odds are not counted.
Projected game score
BellFlow model forecast, not the final result or a guaranteed outcome.
Pittsburgh Panthers
16
Louisville Cardinals
33
Projected combined points: 49 · Projected margin: LOU 17
Season advanced team comparison
Observed current-season team averages, records and rankings. Not modeled player projections.
Pittsburgh Panthers
Season record6-4
Power rank#54
Scored / game29.7
Allowed / game19.4
Yards / game443.0
Pass yards / game266.3
Rush yards / game165.8
Yards allowed / game280.7
Louisville Cardinals
Season record5-3
Power rank#51
Scored / game40.4
Allowed / game27.0
Yards / game515.3
Pass yards / game267.0
Rush yards / game225.1
Yards allowed / game406.7
Key players and recent season averages
Completed-game statistics only; availability differs by sport.
| Player | Team | GP | Pass yds/G | Rush yds/G | Rec yds/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Heintschel | PITT | 5 | 260.8 | 22.4 | — |
| Holden Geriner | PITT | 6 | 147.7 | 6.3 | — |
| Corey Dailey | PITT | 5 | 94.6 | 33.5 | — |
| Damon Ferguson Jr. | PITT | 10 | — | 69.4 | 13.1 |
| Ja'Kyrian Turner | PITT | 4 | — | 43.3 | 48.3 |
| La'Vell Wright | PITT | 9 | — | 34.7 | 13.4 |
| Tyreek Robinson | PITT | 3 | — | 2.0 | 78.0 |
| Cataurus Hicks | PITT | 10 | — | — | 73.0 |
| Demetrice McCray | PITT | 4 | — | 7.0 | 48.5 |
| Lincoln Kienholz | LOU | 8 | 261.8 | 39.1 | — |
| Isaac Brown | LOU | 8 | — | 88.4 | 20.1 |
| Keyjuan Brown | LOU | 7 | — | 66.7 | 9.7 |
| Tre Richardson | LOU | 8 | — | 19.5 | 79.1 |
| Lawayne McCoy | LOU | 7 | — | — | 73.3 |
| TreyShun Hurry | LOU | 8 | — | — | 46.3 |
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