Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Sam Houston Bearkats prediction
College Football · Saturday, November 21 · 2:00 PM EST
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders@
Sam Houston BearkatsBellFlow lean
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders model favorite
MTSU 64%SHSU 36%
Projected score: MTSU 33, SHSU 26
- Power rating: MTSU +3.7 pts better
- Elo: MTSU +144
Advanced matchup research
Recent completed games and recorded pregame spreads. Historical trends are not model projections.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Last 20 record8–12
Points / game24.9
Allowed / game30.8
ATS record5–4–0
ATS cover rate56%
W 51–42L 28–44W 26–23W 33–30L 0–55
Sam Houston Bearkats
Last 20 record3–17
Points / game17.4
Allowed / game33.1
ATS record2–9–0
ATS cover rate18%
L 14–47L 3–24L 24–30L 3–16L 3–35
ATS is calculated from the latest available spread recorded before kickoff. Pushes are excluded from cover percentage; games without pregame odds are not counted.
Projected game score
BellFlow model forecast, not the final result or a guaranteed outcome.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
33
Sam Houston Bearkats
26
Projected combined points: 59 · Projected margin: MTSU 7
Season advanced team comparison
Observed current-season team averages, records and rankings. Not modeled player projections.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Season record4-4
Power rank#83
Scored / game26.1
Allowed / game31.1
Yards / game359.3
Pass yards / game201.0
Rush yards / game158.3
Yards allowed / game287.7
Sam Houston Bearkats
Season record1-7
Power rank#132
Scored / game18.0
Allowed / game25.1
Yards / game454.3
Pass yards / game246.9
Rush yards / game75.9
Yards allowed / game290.7
Key players and recent season averages
Completed-game statistics only; availability differs by sport.
| Player | Team | GP | Pass yds/G | Rush yds/G | Rec yds/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Gagliano | MTSU | 8 | 201.0 | 21.9 | — |
| Kyle Lowe | MTSU | 2 | 170.5 | -11.0 | — |
| Antonio Martin | MTSU | 8 | — | 82.9 | 5.8 |
| Terrence Brown | MTSU | 7 | — | 50.6 | 17.6 |
| Cam'ron Lacy | MTSU | 8 | — | 3.3 | 68.1 |
| Ziyon Butler | MTSU | 5 | — | — | 42.0 |
| Markus Allen | MTSU | 4 | — | — | 35.0 |
| Landyn Locke | SHSU | 7 | 236.1 | -5.6 | — |
| DJ Bailey | SHSU | 2 | 129.0 | -14.0 | — |
| Brett Holloway | SHSU | 5 | 32.0 | 9.4 | — |
| MJ Dowdy | SHSU | 5 | — | 29.4 | 3.0 |
| Alton McCaskill | SHSU | 8 | — | 29.0 | 7.0 |
| Jerrian Parker Jr. | SHSU | 6 | — | 17.2 | 30.8 |
| Tim Burns Jr. | SHSU | 8 | — | — | 56.0 |
| Chris Reed | SHSU | 8 | — | — | 44.6 |
| Grady O'Neill | SHSU | 8 | — | — | 43.5 |
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