Iowa State Cyclones vs UCF Knights prediction
College Football · Friday, November 20 · 6:00 PM EST
Iowa State Cyclones@
UCF KnightsBellFlow lean
UCF Knights model favorite
ISU 49%UCF 51%
Projected score: ISU 33, UCF 34
- ISU expected to start a backup QB (Connor Moberly)
- Projected score: ISU 33.5 – UCF 33.9
- Against: ISU rates 3.4 pts better (before home field)
Advanced matchup research
Recent completed games and recorded pregame spreads. Historical trends are not model projections.
Iowa State Cyclones
Last 20 record11–9
Points / game28.4
Allowed / game24.1
ATS record3–6–1
ATS cover rate33%
L 31–42W 51–49L 3–39L 10–24W 45–42
UCF Knights
Last 20 record9–11
Points / game27.3
Allowed / game25.4
ATS record10–10–0
ATS cover rate50%
W 33–32L 9–41W 39–31L 28–42L 17–27
ATS is calculated from the latest available spread recorded before kickoff. Pushes are excluded from cover percentage; games without pregame odds are not counted.
Projected game score
BellFlow model forecast, not the final result or a guaranteed outcome.
Iowa State Cyclones
33
UCF Knights
34
Projected combined points: 67 · Projected margin: UCF 1
Season advanced team comparison
Observed current-season team averages, records and rankings. Not modeled player projections.
Iowa State Cyclones
Season record4-5
Power rank#93
Scored / game29.2
Allowed / game28.9
Yards / game355.0
Pass yards / game200.3
Rush yards / game181.0
Yards allowed / game226.3
UCF Knights
Season record5-4
Power rank#69
Scored / game30.1
Allowed / game26.0
Yards / game385.3
Pass yards / game212.8
Rush yards / game146.2
Yards allowed / game327.0
Key players and recent season averages
Completed-game statistics only; availability differs by sport.
| Player | Team | GP | Pass yds/G | Rush yds/G | Rec yds/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | ISU | 9 | 185.8 | 24.0 | 0.0 |
| Connor Moberly | ISU | 4 | 27.7 | 11.0 | — |
| Aiden Flora | ISU | 9 | 24.0 | 124.3 | 16.7 |
| Ryver Peppers | ISU | 2 | — | 17.5 | 0.0 |
| Dominic Overby | ISU | 4 | — | — | 53.0 |
| Cody Jackson | ISU | 5 | — | — | 51.0 |
| Jamal Polite Jr. | ISU | 8 | — | 0.0 | 40.1 |
| Alonza Barnett III | UCF | 4 | 182.0 | 8.8 | — |
| Keyone Jenkins | UCF | 8 | 168.7 | 8.7 | — |
| Kaleb Annett | UCF | 2 | 6.0 | 9.0 | — |
| Duke Watson | UCF | 9 | — | 66.2 | 2.5 |
| Agyeman Addae | UCF | 3 | — | 37.0 | 15.0 |
| Landen Chambers | UCF | 9 | — | 28.1 | 14.5 |
| Josh Derry | UCF | 9 | — | 8.0 | 63.4 |
| Tyren Hornes | UCF | 8 | — | 3.0 | 39.3 |
| Waden Charles | UCF | 8 | — | — | 35.6 |
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