Utah Utes vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction
College Football · Saturday, November 21 · 12:00 AM EST
Utah Utes@
TCU Horned FrogsBellFlow lean
Utah Utes model favorite
UTAH 70%TCU 30%
Projected score: UTAH 29, TCU 18
- Power rating: UTAH +13.2 pts better
- Elo: UTAH +305
Advanced matchup research
Recent completed games and recorded pregame spreads. Historical trends are not model projections.
Utah Utes
Last 20 record18–2
Points / game39.0
Allowed / game20.4
ATS record14–5–1
ATS cover rate74%
W 40–39W 28–20W 49–25W 21–13W 27–24
TCU Horned Frogs
Last 20 record11–9
Points / game25.4
Allowed / game21.1
ATS record8–11–1
ATS cover rate42%
W 20–10L 28–29W 22–16L 20–24W 17–6
ATS is calculated from the latest available spread recorded before kickoff. Pushes are excluded from cover percentage; games without pregame odds are not counted.
Projected game score
BellFlow model forecast, not the final result or a guaranteed outcome.
Utah Utes
29
TCU Horned Frogs
18
Projected combined points: 47 · Projected margin: UTAH 11
Season advanced team comparison
Observed current-season team averages, records and rankings. Not modeled player projections.
Utah Utes
Season record9-0
Power rank#2
Scored / game37.7
Allowed / game16.3
Yards / game518.0
Pass yards / game252.7
Rush yards / game215.4
Yards allowed / game239.3
TCU Horned Frogs
Season record5-5
Power rank#75
Scored / game23.4
Allowed / game15.2
Yards / game475.0
Pass yards / game266.4
Rush yards / game106.5
Yards allowed / game264.3
Key players and recent season averages
Completed-game statistics only; availability differs by sport.
| Player | Team | GP | Pass yds/G | Rush yds/G | Rec yds/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Dampier | UTAH | 9 | 228.1 | 53.6 | 29.0 |
| Byrd Ficklin | UTAH | 9 | 38.4 | 21.8 | 5.3 |
| Creed Whittemore | UTAH | 9 | 29.0 | — | 39.0 |
| Wayshawn Parker | UTAH | 9 | — | 84.7 | 29.9 |
| LaMarcus Bell | UTAH | 3 | — | 36.3 | 6.0 |
| Mikey Matthews | UTAH | 2 | — | — | 88.0 |
| Braden Pegan | UTAH | 9 | — | 6.0 | 65.7 |
| Noah Bennee | UTAH | 7 | — | — | 42.1 |
| Jaden Craig | TCU | 10 | 266.4 | 11.7 | — |
| Jeremy Payne | TCU | 7 | — | 69.1 | 17.2 |
| Jon Denman | TCU | 7 | — | 22.6 | 8.5 |
| Landon Walker | TCU | 4 | — | 19.3 | 10.0 |
| Jordan Dwyer | TCU | 6 | — | — | 96.7 |
| Kari Ashley | TCU | 10 | — | 7.0 | 68.4 |
| Ed Small | TCU | 10 | — | — | 63.3 |
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