Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Penn State Nittany Lions prediction
College Football · Saturday, November 21 · 3:30 PM EST
Rutgers Scarlet Knights@
Penn State Nittany LionsBellFlow lean
Penn State Nittany Lions model favorite
RUTG 10%PSU 90%
Projected score: RUTG 14, PSU 39
- RUTG expected to start a backup QB (AJ Surace)
- Power rating: PSU +22.2 pts better
Advanced matchup research
Recent completed games and recorded pregame spreads. Historical trends are not model projections.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Last 20 record5–15
Points / game24.9
Allowed / game32.9
ATS record5–5–0
ATS cover rate50%
L 0–31L 10–31L 21–28L 14–42W 37–30
Penn State Nittany Lions
Last 20 record10–10
Points / game28.7
Allowed / game21.9
ATS record6–4–0
ATS cover rate60%
W 42–14W 28–25W 31–17L 18–21L 23–31
ATS is calculated from the latest available spread recorded before kickoff. Pushes are excluded from cover percentage; games without pregame odds are not counted.
Projected game score
BellFlow model forecast, not the final result or a guaranteed outcome.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
14
Penn State Nittany Lions
39
Projected combined points: 53 · Projected margin: PSU 25
Season advanced team comparison
Observed current-season team averages, records and rankings. Not modeled player projections.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Season record2-8
Power rank#129
Scored / game23.2
Allowed / game32.3
Yards / game396.7
Pass yards / game202.1
Rush yards / game139.0
Yards allowed / game420.0
Penn State Nittany Lions
Season record5-4
Power rank#67
Scored / game28.9
Allowed / game19.3
Yards / game492.0
Pass yards / game244.7
Rush yards / game150.9
Yards allowed / game201.0
Key players and recent season averages
Completed-game statistics only; availability differs by sport.
| Player | Team | GP | Pass yds/G | Rush yds/G | Rec yds/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Lonergan | RUTG | 6 | 213.2 | 7.7 | — |
| AJ Surace | RUTG | 8 | 105.9 | -10.8 | — |
| Jakob Anderson | RUTG | 3 | 40.0 | — | — |
| Antwan Raymond | RUTG | 10 | — | 81.0 | 22.6 |
| Clay Thevenin | RUTG | 10 | — | 51.8 | 9.8 |
| Aiden Gibson | RUTG | 4 | — | 12.8 | — |
| KJ Duff | RUTG | 7 | — | — | 110.6 |
| Jesse Ofurie | RUTG | 9 | — | — | 40.0 |
| Jourdin Houston | RUTG | 7 | — | — | 37.7 |
| Rocco Becht | PSU | 9 | 231.0 | 9.8 | — |
| Alex Manske | PSU | 3 | 51.0 | 4.7 | — |
| Nathan Tiyce | PSU | 3 | 13.0 | — | — |
| Carson Hansen | PSU | 9 | — | 54.8 | 8.3 |
| Cam Wallace | PSU | 6 | — | 52.7 | 8.0 |
| James Peoples | PSU | 7 | — | 35.1 | 8.0 |
| Koby Howard | PSU | 3 | — | 12.0 | 114.7 |
| Chase Sowell | PSU | 8 | — | — | 79.4 |
| Brett Eskildsen | PSU | 8 | — | — | 34.9 |
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