New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears prediction
NFL · Sunday, November 22 · 1:00 PM EST
New Orleans Saints@
Chicago BearsBellFlow lean
Chicago Bears model favorite
NO 25%CHI 75%
Projected score: NO 20, CHI 29
- QB edge: CHI +0.4 net yds/dropback
- Team rating: CHI +218 Elo
Advanced matchup research
Recent completed games and recorded pregame spreads. Historical trends are not model projections.
New Orleans Saints
Last 20 record9–11
Points / game20.5
Allowed / game23.6
ATS record10–9–0
ATS cover rate53%
W 23–22L 10–16W 34–27L 13–23L 24–45
Chicago Bears
Last 20 record13–7
Points / game25.4
Allowed / game20.3
ATS record14–6–0
ATS cover rate70%
W 27–24W 34–17W 30–24W 31–23L 7–31
ATS is calculated from the latest available spread recorded before kickoff. Pushes are excluded from cover percentage; games without pregame odds are not counted.
Projected game score
BellFlow model forecast, not the final result or a guaranteed outcome.
New Orleans Saints
20
Chicago Bears
29
Projected combined points: 49 · Projected margin: CHI 9
Season advanced team comparison
Observed current-season team averages, records and rankings. Not modeled player projections.
New Orleans Saints
Season record3-5
Power rank#22
Scored / game23.1
Allowed / game27.0
Yards / game383.5
Pass yards / game230.5
Rush yards / game95.3
Yards allowed / game340.5
Chicago Bears
Season record6-2
Power rank#7
Scored / game25.9
Allowed / game20.9
Yards / game424.5
Pass yards / game241.5
Rush yards / game144.0
Yards allowed / game362.0
Key players and recent season averages
Completed-game statistics only; availability differs by sport.
| Player | Team | GP | Pass yds/G | Rush yds/G | Rec yds/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Shough | NO | 8 | 248.3 | 23.1 | — |
| Audric Estime | NO | 2 | — | 45.5 | 5.0 |
| Kendre Miller | NO | 6 | — | 26.5 | 9.3 |
| Chris Olave | NO | 8 | — | — | 91.8 |
| Devaughn Vele | NO | 8 | — | — | 45.6 |
| Barion Brown | NO | 5 | — | -1.0 | 38.0 |
| Caleb Williams | CHI | 5 | 259.8 | 28.8 | — |
| Case Keenum | CHI | 2 | 177.5 | 5.0 | — |
| Tyson Bagent | CHI | 3 | 136.3 | 9.0 | — |
| Kyle Monangai | CHI | 4 | — | 81.0 | 13.0 |
| D'Andre Swift | CHI | 8 | — | 63.4 | 19.0 |
| Luther Burden III | CHI | 8 | — | 5.8 | 73.5 |
| Rome Odunze | CHI | 8 | — | — | 55.1 |
| Colston Loveland | CHI | 8 | — | — | 37.3 |
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