Memphis Tigers vs Navy Midshipmen prediction
College Football · Saturday, November 21 · 12:00 PM EST
Memphis Tigers@
Navy MidshipmenBellFlow lean
Memphis Tigers model favorite
MEM 73%NAVY 27%
Projected score: MEM 45, NAVY 33
- Power rating: MEM +5.2 pts better
- Elo: MEM +190
Advanced matchup research
Recent completed games and recorded pregame spreads. Historical trends are not model projections.
Memphis Tigers
Last 20 record13–7
Points / game35.1
Allowed / game26.1
ATS record6–4–0
ATS cover rate60%
W 52–41W 49–22W 41–34L 17–31W 38–13
Navy Midshipmen
Last 20 record12–8
Points / game29.1
Allowed / game28.4
ATS record7–13–0
ATS cover rate35%
W 42–35L 13–35L 39–49L 34–38W 34–26
ATS is calculated from the latest available spread recorded before kickoff. Pushes are excluded from cover percentage; games without pregame odds are not counted.
Projected game score
BellFlow model forecast, not the final result or a guaranteed outcome.
Memphis Tigers
45
Navy Midshipmen
33
Projected combined points: 78 · Projected margin: MEM 12
Season advanced team comparison
Observed current-season team averages, records and rankings. Not modeled player projections.
Memphis Tigers
Season record7-2
Power rank#23
Scored / game37.9
Allowed / game25.7
Yards / game508.0
Pass yards / game284.1
Rush yards / game232.9
Yards allowed / game440.8
Navy Midshipmen
Season record3-6
Power rank#110
Scored / game29.2
Allowed / game30.4
Yards / game460.0
Pass yards / game116.3
Rush yards / game298.1
Yards allowed / game312.0
Key players and recent season averages
Completed-game statistics only; availability differs by sport.
| Player | Team | GP | Pass yds/G | Rush yds/G | Rec yds/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stokes | MEM | 9 | 274.9 | 34.4 | — |
| Air Noland | MEM | 3 | 41.5 | 10.7 | — |
| Jaylin Carter | MEM | 9 | — | 104.7 | 16.8 |
| Jordan Thompson | MEM | 3 | — | 69.7 | — |
| Manny Covey | MEM | 9 | — | 44.0 | 7.5 |
| Jemyri Davis | MEM | 7 | — | — | 69.4 |
| Stonka Burnside | MEM | 8 | — | — | 54.0 |
| Hunter Tipton | MEM | 9 | — | -0.5 | 52.9 |
| Jackson Gutierrez | NAVY | 9 | 111.9 | 129.1 | 35.5 |
| Braxton Woodson | NAVY | 7 | 25.3 | 65.2 | — |
| Michael Barrow | NAVY | 9 | — | 68.1 | 15.0 |
| Jordan Collins | NAVY | 5 | — | — | 64.8 |
| Merrick Barlow | NAVY | 2 | — | — | 44.0 |
| Truman Brasfield | NAVY | 4 | — | — | 43.5 |
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