Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans prediction
NFL · Thursday, November 19 · 8:15 PM EST
Indianapolis Colts@
Houston TexansBellFlow lean
Houston Texans model favorite
IND 23%HOU 77%
Projected score: IND 20, HOU 30
- QB edge: HOU +0.8 net yds/dropback
- Team rating: HOU +149 Elo
Advanced matchup research
Recent completed games and recorded pregame spreads. Historical trends are not model projections.
Indianapolis Colts
Last 20 record3–17
Points / game19.8
Allowed / game27.6
ATS record9–11–0
ATS cover rate45%
L 23–27L 7–42L 10–16L 20–26L 22–34
Houston Texans
Last 20 record11–9
Points / game24.0
Allowed / game21.2
ATS record10–10–0
ATS cover rate50%
W 44–22L 21–27W 34–31W 26–3L 30–34
ATS is calculated from the latest available spread recorded before kickoff. Pushes are excluded from cover percentage; games without pregame odds are not counted.
Projected game score
BellFlow model forecast, not the final result or a guaranteed outcome.
Indianapolis Colts
20
Houston Texans
30
Projected combined points: 50 · Projected margin: HOU 10
Season advanced team comparison
Observed current-season team averages, records and rankings. Not modeled player projections.
Indianapolis Colts
Season record2-7
Power rank#28
Scored / game20.4
Allowed / game27.7
Yards / game290.0
Pass yards / game173.7
Rush yards / game115.2
Yards allowed / game514.5
Houston Texans
Season record3-5
Power rank#20
Scored / game26.1
Allowed / game24.0
Yards / game377.5
Pass yards / game269.4
Rush yards / game87.1
Yards allowed / game338.0
Key players and recent season averages
Completed-game statistics only; availability differs by sport.
| Player | Team | GP | Pass yds/G | Rush yds/G | Rec yds/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Jones | IND | 9 | 191.3 | 9.6 | — |
| Jonathan Taylor | IND | 9 | — | 72.9 | 24.4 |
| Seth McGowan | IND | 9 | — | 26.0 | 1.8 |
| Deion Burks | IND | 7 | — | 10.5 | 10.0 |
| Keenan Allen | IND | 8 | — | — | 43.9 |
| Josh Downs | IND | 9 | — | 7.0 | 39.3 |
| Tyler Warren | IND | 7 | — | 2.0 | 39.3 |
| C.J. Stroud | HOU | 8 | 281.4 | 12.5 | — |
| Woody Marks | HOU | 8 | — | 42.6 | 12.3 |
| David Montgomery | HOU | 5 | — | 27.6 | 16.8 |
| Tank Dell | HOU | 2 | — | 2.0 | 74.0 |
| Nico Collins | HOU | 6 | — | 6.0 | 64.0 |
| Jaylin Noel | HOU | 7 | — | 6.5 | 47.3 |
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