East Carolina Pirates vs Army Black Knights prediction
College Football · Saturday, November 21 · 12:00 PM EST
East Carolina Pirates@
Army Black KnightsBellFlow lean
Army Black Knights model favorite
ECU 36%ARMY 64%
Projected score: ECU 22, ARMY 29
- Power rating: ARMY +9.5 pts better
- Elo: ARMY +66
Advanced matchup research
Recent completed games and recorded pregame spreads. Historical trends are not model projections.
East Carolina Pirates
Last 20 record13–7
Points / game28.2
Allowed / game22.2
ATS record5–4–0
ATS cover rate56%
W 20–17W 17–9L 34–41L 17–30W 28–12
Army Black Knights
Last 20 record11–9
Points / game27.5
Allowed / game22.9
ATS record10–10–0
ATS cover rate50%
L 21–24L 22–49W 38–35W 56–24W 20–17
ATS is calculated from the latest available spread recorded before kickoff. Pushes are excluded from cover percentage; games without pregame odds are not counted.
Projected game score
BellFlow model forecast, not the final result or a guaranteed outcome.
East Carolina Pirates
22
Army Black Knights
29
Projected combined points: 51 · Projected margin: ARMY 7
Season advanced team comparison
Observed current-season team averages, records and rankings. Not modeled player projections.
East Carolina Pirates
Season record5-4
Power rank#73
Scored / game23.6
Allowed / game23.3
Yards / game285.0
Pass yards / game190.6
Rush yards / game161.8
Yards allowed / game385.7
Army Black Knights
Season record5-2
Power rank#34
Scored / game35.3
Allowed / game22.1
Yards / game497.5
Pass yards / game74.9
Rush yards / game345.7
Yards allowed / game267.0
Key players and recent season averages
Completed-game statistics only; availability differs by sport.
| Player | Team | GP | Pass yds/G | Rush yds/G | Rec yds/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emory Williams | ECU | 7 | 127.3 | 9.7 | — |
| Mitch Griffis | ECU | 9 | 100.1 | 16.0 | — |
| Jason Dickerson | ECU | 9 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 18.8 |
| TJ Engleman Jr. | ECU | 9 | — | 77.2 | 14.2 |
| Ashton Gray | ECU | 8 | — | 47.5 | 19.5 |
| Michael Allen | ECU | 8 | — | 17.9 | 6.2 |
| Landon Sides | ECU | 6 | — | — | 59.7 |
| Jeremiah Melvin | ECU | 4 | — | — | 47.0 |
| Dillon Lorick | ECU | 2 | — | — | 43.5 |
| Cale Hellums | ARMY | 7 | 60.3 | 120.0 | — |
| Zach Mundell | ARMY | 6 | 41.0 | 37.8 | 19.0 |
| Bryson Luter | ARMY | 4 | 7.0 | 32.0 | — |
| Godspower Nwawuihe | ARMY | 5 | — | 71.0 | 12.0 |
| Samari Howard | ARMY | 7 | — | 49.4 | 23.2 |
| Brady Anderson | ARMY | 5 | — | 24.5 | 32.6 |
| Carson Smith | ARMY | 6 | — | 28.2 | 20.0 |
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