Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat prediction
NBA · Saturday, November 14 · 8:00 PM EST
Detroit Pistons@
Miami HeatBellFlow lean
Detroit Pistons model favorite
DET 72%MIA 28%
Projected score: DET 118, MIA 111
- Projected score: DET 117.7 – MIA 110.9
Advanced matchup research
Recent completed games and recorded pregame spreads. Historical trends are not model projections.
Detroit Pistons
Last 20 record13–7
Points / game111.6
Allowed / game106.1
ATS record9–9–0
ATS cover rate50%
L 106–112W 124–91W 110–94W 97–89L 97–111
Miami Heat
Last 20 record9–11
Points / game122.7
Allowed / game123.1
ATS record7–10–0
ATS cover rate41%
L 100–120W 117–116L 117–138W 145–125W 129–117
ATS is calculated from the latest available spread recorded before kickoff. Pushes are excluded from cover percentage; games without pregame odds are not counted.
Projected game score
BellFlow model forecast, not the final result or a guaranteed outcome.
Detroit Pistons
118
Miami Heat
111
Projected combined points: 229 · Projected margin: DET 7
Season advanced team comparison
Observed current-season team averages, records and rankings. Not modeled player projections.
Detroit Pistons
Season record4-1
Power rank#5
Scored / game112.4
Allowed / game104.4
Miami Heat
Season record0-5
Power rank#29
Scored / game107.2
Allowed / game121.4
Key players and recent season averages
Completed-game statistics only; availability differs by sport.
| Player | Team | GP | Points/G | Rebounds/G | Assists/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | DET | 5 | 20.6 | 5.6 | 7.2 |
| Duncan Robinson | DET | 5 | 17.6 | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| Paul Reed | DET | 5 | 13.4 | 7.6 | 2.2 |
| John Collins | DET | 5 | 10.2 | 8.2 | 0.6 |
| Jalen Duren | DET | 2 | 13.0 | 7.5 | 2.0 |
| Ausar Thompson | DET | 4 | 9.3 | 7.0 | 4.5 |
| Daniss Jenkins | DET | 5 | 10.6 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIA | 5 | 26.8 | 10.4 | 4.8 |
| Davion Mitchell | MIA | 5 | 18.8 | 1.0 | 7.2 |
| Bam Adebayo | MIA | 5 | 13.0 | 7.8 | 2.8 |
| Bobby Portis | MIA | 5 | 8.2 | 7.4 | 1.0 |
| Pelle Larsson | MIA | 5 | 9.8 | 2.6 | 3.4 |
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